Published October 11, 2026 in Market Update

Primary market sales rose even as listings stayed lower

By Chrissy Burghart

Real estate, Primary market

The one fact that changes what you should do right now: more homes sold here, even as fewer were available. The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 2,446 homes sold in the Primary market in the three months ending August 31, 2026, up 13.1% from the same period a year before. The National Association of Realtors reported existing-home sales fell 2.0% nationally in August 2026. Your local market moved against that national tide.

So what does that mean for you as an owner? Buyers are still closing deals here, even with fewer choices on the shelf. The Real Estate Data Aggregator found only 3,615 homes for sale across the Primary market, down 23.9% from a year ago. Less supply with more sales is a signal worth watching.

Pending sales tell the next chapter. The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 2,299 pending sales across the Primary market, up 5.6% from a year ago. That means the pipeline heading into the fall is fuller than it was last year, even with fewer listings to choose from.

Rates are a real headwind, but buyers are still moving

Freddie Mac put the average 30-year fixed rate at 7.40% as of October 8, 2026. The 15-year averaged 6.73% the same week. CNBC reported rates hit their highest level in three years, above 7.5%, in early October 2026. That is a real cost for buyers. Yet the Primary market still posted more closings. Pricing and preparation matter more than ever at these rates.

How each ZIP code read in the three months ending August 31, 2026

The story is not the same in every ZIP code. Some areas moved faster and some prices dipped a little. Here is what the Real Estate Data Aggregator counted, ZIP by ZIP.

Not every price moved the same way. ZIP 34110 saw the Real Estate Data Aggregator record a median of $867,500, up 39.9%. ZIP 34104 reached $440,000, up 25.7%. On the other side, ZIP 34108 dipped to $1,000,000, down 13%, and ZIP 34105 came in at $522,500, down 11.4%. Honest answer: some areas gave back a little on price while gaining on volume.

Days on market: wide range across the Primary market

Speed varied a lot. The Real Estate Data Aggregator put ZIP 33967 at 55 days, the fastest in the Primary market. ZIP 34103 sat at 143 days, the slowest. If your home is in a slower ZIP, pricing close to where buyers are landing matters more than ever at today's rates.

Supply is tighter nearly everywhere

The National Association of Realtors reported 4.9 months of supply nationally as of August 2026. The Real Estate Data Aggregator found several Primary market ZIPs well below that. ZIP 34119 and ZIP 33928 each came in at 3.4 months. ZIP 34109 sat at 3.6 months. ZIP 34102 was the loosest at 7.5 months, meaning sellers there face more competition.

How quickly are homes going under contract?

The Real Estate Data Aggregator tracks the share of homes that went under contract within two weeks of listing. ZIP 33967 led the Primary market at 27.7%. ZIP 34117 came in at 20%. ZIP 34105 and ZIP 34119 each hit 19%. At the other end, ZIP 34102 saw just 5.4% go that fast. A well-priced home in the right ZIP can still move quickly.

The national backdrop, in plain terms

The National Association of Realtors said existing-home sales are up 1.6% year-to-date through the first eight months of 2026, even with August's 2.0% monthly dip. The Federal Housing Finance Agency reported U.S. house prices rose 0.3% from the previous month in July 2026, seasonally adjusted. The Primary market's 13.1% sales gain sits well above both of those national readings.

These are market-wide numbers. One street, one building, one price range can read very differently from the ZIP code around it. Text me your address and I can tell you what the numbers look like right where you are.